Member brief No. TX-31
Reviewed October 31, 2026
TX-31 · Texas
John R. Carter
Republican. Trump won Texas in 2024. Not flagged for 2032 redistricting risk.
- Age on Election Day 2028
- 87
- Born November 6, 1941.
- Lean
- R+11
- Solidly Republican. Cook PVI, 2026 lines.
- In the House since
- 2003
- Served since January 7, 2003.
- Cash on hand
- $159K
- $159,171. Reporting period ended October 14, 2026
The 2026 race
- November 3, 2026
- Re-elected
Over Justin Early (D). Called by NBC News on November 4, 2026.
- Primary
- Won with 59.7%
March 3. Next: Valentina Gomez, 10.9%, and seven others.
Also on the November ballot: Greg Stoker (Green).
Endorsements, 2026
Endorsed: Donald Trump.
None on record: Club for Growth, Turning Point Action, MAHA PAC.
What a race here costs
TV: Waco–Temple–Bryan, 420,000 homes. The district is 40.2% of the market; 3 markets in all.
2026 primary: $1.6M spent, $21.44 a vote
2024 general: $843K spent, $2.37 a vote
In the House, 119th Congress
- Chair of the Appropriations subcommittee on Military Construction, Veterans Affairs, and Related Agencies
Committees: Appropriations
General-election outcomes
- 2024 vote share
- 64.43%
- Victory margin
- +28.86 pts
- Trump, 2024
- 60.97% · +23.27 pts
Margin 5.59 points above Trump. Vote share 3.46 points above.
2024 election districts. Valid votes; margin over the runner-up. Runner-up: Stuart Whitlow. Returns · Trump baseline · Method. Reviewed November 5, 2026.
Money, past cycles
| Cycle | Raised | From individuals | Cash at year end |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.2M | 50% | $200K |
| 2022 | $1.3M | 46% | $411K |
| 2024 | $1.2M | 53% | $41K |
Scorecards and grades
- Conservative average, out of 100
- 76.6
- Progressive average, out of 100
- 9.4 (LCV 4, Progressive Punch 4, Stop Corruption Now 20)
- IAP Action score, immigration
- 109, rank 118 of 431
- Gun Owners of America grade, 2024
- B-
Read October 4, 2026 from the member’s page on heritageaction.com, clubforgrowth.org, tpaction.com, gopscorecard.limitedgov.org.