Member brief No. PA-16
Reviewed October 31, 2026
PA-16 · Pennsylvania
Mike Kelly
Republican. Trump won Pennsylvania in 2024. Not flagged for 2032 redistricting risk.
- Age on Election Day 2028
- 80
- Born May 10, 1948.
- Lean
- R+11
- Solidly Republican. Cook PVI, 2026 lines.
- In the House since
- 2011
- Served since January 5, 2011.
- Cash on hand
- $1.04M
- $1,039,192. Reporting period ended October 14, 2026
The 2026 race
- November 3, 2026
- Re-elected
Over Justin Wagner (D). Called by NBC News on November 4, 2026.
- Primary
- Unopposed
The only name on the ballot, May 19.
Endorsements, 2026
Endorsed: Donald Trump.
None on record: Club for Growth, Turning Point Action, MAHA PAC.
What a race here costs
TV: Erie, 151,000 homes. The district is 90.2% of the market; 3 markets in all.
2026 primary: $647K spent, $14.63 a vote
2024 general: $1.0M spent, $2.54 a vote
In the House, 119th Congress
- Chair of the Ways and Means subcommittee on Tax
Committees: Ways and Means
General-election outcomes
- 2024 vote share
- 63.65%
- Victory margin
- +27.31 pts
- Trump, 2024
- 60.96% · +22.77 pts
Margin 4.54 points above Trump. Vote share 2.69 points above.
2024 election districts. Valid votes; margin over the runner-up. Runner-up: Preston Nouri. Returns · Trump baseline · Method. Reviewed November 5, 2026.
Money, past cycles
| Cycle | Raised | From individuals | Cash at year end |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.3M | 28% | $959K |
| 2022 | $1.3M | 38% | $899K |
| 2024 | $1.7M | 33% | $1.0M |
Scorecards and grades
- Conservative average, out of 100
- 73
- Progressive average, out of 100
- 9.9 (LCV 4, Progressive Punch 6, Stop Corruption Now 20)
- IAP Action score, immigration
- 98, rank 179 of 431
- Gun Owners of America grade, 2024
- B+
Read October 4, 2026 from the member’s page on heritageaction.com, clubforgrowth.org, tpaction.com, gopscorecard.limitedgov.org.