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American Ascent

Member brief No. MN-06

Reviewed October 31, 2026

MN-06 · Minnesota

Tom Emmer

Republican. Harris won Minnesota in 2024. Flagged as a 2032 redistricting risk.

Age on Election Day 2028
67
Born March 3, 1961.
Lean
R+10
Solidly Republican. Cook PVI, 2026 lines.
In the House since
2015
Served since January 6, 2015.
Cash on hand
$2.97M
$2,971,245. Reporting period ended October 14, 2026

The 2026 race

November 3, 2026
Re-elected

Over Doug Chapin (DFL). Called by NBC News on November 4, 2026.

Primary
Won with 80.9%

Aug. 11. Next: Mike Foley, 15.3%, and one other.

Endorsements, 2026

Endorsed: Donald Trump.

None on record: Club for Growth, Turning Point Action, MAHA PAC.

Latest poll of the 2026 race

R (Republican)Emmer51ChapinD (Democrat)39
Emmer 51 percent, Chapin 39 percent, 11 undecided.

Public Policy Polling · Aug. 18 to 19, 2026 · 643 voters · margin of error ±3.9

Sponsored by the Chapin campaign.

What a race here costs

TV: Minneapolis–Saint Paul, 1.89 million homes. The district is 14.6% of the market.

2026 primary: $4.6M spent, $69.58 a vote

2024 general: $1.9M spent, $4.46 a vote

In the House, 119th Congress

  • House Majority Whip, 119th Congress
  • Vice Chair of the Financial Services subcommittee on Digital Assets, Financial Technology, and Artificial Intelligence

Committees: Financial Services

General-election outcomes

2024 vote share
62.45%
Victory margin
+25.03 pts
Trump, 2024
58.85% · +19.67 pts

Margin 5.36 points above Trump. Vote share 3.60 points above.

2024 election districts. Valid votes; margin over the runner-up. Runner-up: Jeanne Hendricks. Returns · Trump baseline · Method. Reviewed November 5, 2026.

Money, past cycles

Money raised, the share from individual donors, and cash on hand, by past cycle
CycleRaisedFrom individualsCash at year end
2020$2.8M35%$449K
2022$4.4M46%$646K
2024$8.2M26%$1.7M

Scorecards and grades

Conservative average, out of 100
79.6
Progressive average, out of 100
3.5 (LCV 3, Progressive Punch 4, Stop Corruption Now none)
IAP Action score, immigration
111, rank 113 of 431
Gun Owners of America grade, 2024
A-

Read October 4, 2026 from the member’s page on heritageaction.com, clubforgrowth.org, tpaction.com, gopscorecard.limitedgov.org.